Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TON11419 prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-30 1.096023 1.247405 1.412347 1.605455 1.825417 2.068263 2.356855
2025-12-07 0.837069 1.036377 1.272517 1.573154 1.946135 2.394243 2.974425
2025-12-14 0.682785 0.896093 1.163923 1.525349 2.001213 2.607631 3.441289
2025-12-21 0.586326 0.807010 1.097556 1.508785 2.077264 2.837622 3.935755
2025-12-28 0.534347 0.766534 1.085095 1.555101 2.233052 3.178965 4.605327
2026-01-04 0.471887 0.702266 1.030140 1.532102 2.284091 3.373582 5.080998
2026-01-11 0.436992 0.672627 1.019447 1.568761 2.420857 3.698951 5.774400
2026-01-18 0.399749 0.634705 0.991409 1.574372 2.508228 3.954589 6.381827
2026-01-25 0.361803 0.591288 0.949875 1.553282 2.549320 4.138829 6.889540
2026-02-01 0.325803 0.547076 0.902309 1.516702 2.559875 4.272112 7.322235
2026-02-08 0.294495 0.507342 0.857907 1.480193 2.565389 4.394792 7.744466
2026-02-15 0.276216 0.487730 0.844788 1.494671 2.657578 4.669119 8.451388
2026-02-22 0.252349 0.458602 0.816945 1.488546 2.727105 4.935092 9.217991
2026-03-01 0.226761 0.424208 0.777327 1.458953 2.754798 5.136264 9.903222
2026-03-08 0.202507 0.389367 0.732843 1.414661 2.748809 5.272535 10.477567
2026-03-15 0.185047 0.365309 0.705521 1.399317 2.795202 5.510376 11.274398
2026-03-22 0.176522 0.357565 0.708165 1.442223 2.959827 5.993373 12.618045
2026-03-29 0.161644 0.335489 0.680448 1.420918 2.991710 6.213767 13.441491
2026-04-05 0.154033 0.327414 0.679774 1.454877 3.141300 6.689614 14.862373
2026-04-12 0.144288 0.313798 0.666275 1.460075 3.229685 7.045120 16.059441
2026-04-19 0.133233 0.296192 0.642593 1.440538 3.261502 7.281110 17.013399
2026-04-26 0.122042 0.277124 0.613858 1.406651 3.257220 7.436137 17.796941
2026-05-03 0.111935 0.259458 0.586456 1.372828 3.249212 7.581229 18.572554